Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108e69cf57af186c3b0e04ce77714fc303be8ec926e0548e8f16357943a528d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Marshall Thundering Herd, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 523,031$271,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271,760.99 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 33,692$17,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,452.84 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 17,500$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 7,000$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 52c | 6,853$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 6,191$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,095.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 6,000$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.25 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 2,995$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 2,995$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.35 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 2,146$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 1,355$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.93 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…95f9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 368.93$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 312.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 129.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 108$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 90.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 87.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 87.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 78.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 76.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 48c | 60.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 51.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 47.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 28.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 28.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 26.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 54c | 26.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 51c | 23.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 49c | 23.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…e3e2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-8.5)this page
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Marshall Thundering HerdCoastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.