Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. New Mexico State Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0dd87c19296b117721e83c97cad96f3efab56443141447c00dbe73746adf8b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico State Aggiesof Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, New Mexico State Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico State Aggies | 57c | 1,475$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.48 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 866.05$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 9c | 751.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 600.52$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.72 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 19c | 413.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 334.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 45c | 324.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.34 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 66c | 296.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…d430backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 9c | 278.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 15c | 196.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 169$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Mexico State Aggies | 61c | 154.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 42c | 116$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico State Aggies | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 57c | 44.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed New Mexico State Aggies | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed New Mexico State Aggies | 57c | 28.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New Mexico State Aggies | 56c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 55c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. New Mexico State Aggiesthis page
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-2.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
- Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-3.5)New Mexico State Aggies won
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. New Mexico State Aggies: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.