NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4a75e964836e97da8649859114c737132853988a19a4cc96868cac89b068ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 50,019$24,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,180.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 52c | 19,047$9,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,904.44 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 5,515$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.2 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 4,073$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.59 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 50c | 3,862$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 50c | 1,636$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 1,543$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.43 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Under | 52c | 1,527$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.89 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.32 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 1,515$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.35 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 1,492$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.2 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Under | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Over | 50c | 1,303$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.78 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,236$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.54 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 1,227$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.08 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4697…8b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 606$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 329.92$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.26 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Over | 52c | 320$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…9d12backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…3f7bbacked Under | 50c | 232$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…fa69backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed Under | 52c | 208.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…aa29backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…f056backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…faedbacked Under | 50c | 148$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Under | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…bffebacked Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…3f61backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…656dbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 52c | 52.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…7158backed Under | 52c | 38.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694f…68efbacked Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…9e3dbacked Over | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.