NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8fee2206b1238fcc3997ccfd5b9efcea758f823aa1379591196ec33e76d0bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Hurricanes, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canucks | 50c | 9,000$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Hurricanes | 50c | 3,007$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.6 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 2,079$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.59 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hurricanes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Hurricanes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.91 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Canucks | 49c | 1,495$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.56 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Canucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Hurricanes | 50c | 930.16$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Canucks | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Hurricanes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Hurricanes | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Canucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Canucks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…6b7fbacked Hurricanes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc416…8bd5backed Hurricanes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Hurricanes | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Canucks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Hurricanes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Hurricanes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 22.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Hurricanes | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. HurricanesHurricanes won
- Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.