Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84470599e97ce55a9317499d57551a39f9259e0c183f320419e5f566b6793557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 48c | 27,699$13,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,331.62 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 15,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,700 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 5,579$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 4,609$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 2,195$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.23 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 52c | 515.74$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 505.11$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 457$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 53c | 335.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 53c | 281.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 48c | 246.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 54c | 182$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 99.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 51c | 77.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 46c | 55.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 52c | 40.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 32.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 53c | 31.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 52c | 20.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 150.5this page
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan BroncosBowling Green Falcons won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-6.5)Bowling Green Falcons won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-7.5)Bowling Green Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.