Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2c9181fac384afd8baa847af767efe64d6fe0b1d8f89202f3c751db4095713c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bowling Green Falconsof Bowling Green Falcons, Western Michigan Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 1,567$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.28 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 1,139$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Bowling Green Falcons | 52c | 827.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.66 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bowling Green Falcons | 48c | 646$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 52c | 388.25$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.73 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Western Michigan Broncos | 53c | 360.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 330.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bowling Green Falcons | 52c | 307.94$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Western Michigan Broncos | 49c | 260.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Western Michigan Broncos | 52c | 199.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Bowling Green Falcons | 48c | 155.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bowling Green Falcons | 47c | 102.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 92.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Western Michigan Broncos | 51c | 70.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Western Michigan Broncos | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Bowling Green Falcons | 45c | 62.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Western Michigan Broncos | 50c | 56.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Bowling Green Falcons | 48c | 31.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-7.5)this page
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan BroncosBowling Green Falcons won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 150.5Under won
- Bowling Green Falcons vs. Western Michigan Broncos: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Bowling Green Falcons (-6.5)Bowling Green Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.