Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Justin Engel vs George Loffhagen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df94855bf7b71329e2bf86fa843268d794c4a99e67f0d818b74ef3e9c9c16f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loffhagenof Engel, Loffhagen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Engel | 55c | 4,513$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Loffhagen | 49c | 1,066$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.64 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Loffhagen | 56c | 1,016$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.46 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Loffhagen | 67c | 916.31$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Loffhagen | 46c | 636.25$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.62 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Engel | 51c | 582.35$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Loffhagen | 47c | 355.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Loffhagen | 48c | 312.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Loffhagen | 46c | 215$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Engel | 29c | 202.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Loffhagen | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Engel | 60c | 167.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Engel | 45c | 151$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Engel | 19c | 126.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Loffhagen | 65c | 109$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Loffhagen | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed Loffhagen | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Engel | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Loffhagen | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Engel | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Loffhagen | 66c | 90.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Engel | 17c | 89.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Engel | 23c | 79.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Loffhagen | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Loffhagen | 48c | 67.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Engel | 36c | 65.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…cf9ebacked Loffhagen | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd9…8323backed Loffhagen | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…d3b3backed Loffhagen | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Loffhagen | 49c | 56.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Engel | 51c | 50.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…ed39backed Loffhagen | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Engel | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…218abacked Engel | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…d81abacked Engel | 24c | 45.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…56bebacked Loffhagen | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Engel | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…540abacked Loffhagen | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed Engel | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Loffhagen | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…065cbacked Loffhagen | 80c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Engel | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…3d2bbacked Loffhagen | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Loffhagen | 79c | 24.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…8b5bbacked Loffhagen | 73c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Loffhagen | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 79cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Justin Engel vs George Loffhagenthis page
- Engel vs. Loffhagen: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.