TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Netsof Celtics, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x871e…6566backed Celtics50c1,000$500 inLost-$5001540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Nets54c272$147 inWon+$125.125759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Nets50c270.33$135 inWon+$135.5114751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Nets37c220.68$82 inWon+$139.0315034.7%52 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Celtics65c150.77$98 inLost-$982147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Nets38c131.58$50 inWon+$81.582065%13 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+57%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics56c80.66$45 inLost-$44.925,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1304…cce4backed Celtics72c55.56$40 inLost-$402470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets28c41.56$12 inWon+$29.921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0e…6e90backed Nets37c37.84$14 inWon+$23.841936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.