NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66eb2fa9680f56502518823926375556acce31889ef00dbdc5b6fc702fd36b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 47c | 69,313$32,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,031.18 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…89d2backed Under | 0c | 52,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,199.87 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 22,646$12,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,209.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…c559backed Over | 48c | 5,527$2,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…8b02backed Over | 48c | 5,441$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…0d90backed Over | 48c | 5,404$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…9db5backed Over | 48c | 5,355$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…8ad4backed Over | 48c | 5,353$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…d6e3backed Over | 48c | 5,165$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 4,622$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.15 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Over | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…aa56backed Over | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Under | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 48c | 4,100$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…9120backed Under | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3f64backed Under | 52c | 4,100$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…3528backed Under | 52c | 3,612$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ca…c2abbacked Over | 48c | 3,275$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…de61backed Under | 52c | 3,242$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…12f0backed Over | 48c | 3,156$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b4…033ebacked Under | 52c | 3,022$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…bba8backed Under | 52c | 3,021$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…d2febacked Over | 48c | 2,654$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8125…9a0ebacked Under | 52c | 2,601$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…1389backed Under | 52c | 2,423$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…fa26backed Over | 48c | 2,423$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…39e0backed Over | 48c | 2,349$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…cac9backed Over | 48c | 2,302$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…8205backed Under | 52c | 2,053$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa186…15dfbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…741ebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…d906backed Under | 52c | 1,975$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…870ebacked Under | 52c | 1,953$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…d3efbacked Under | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd232…f424backed Under | 52c | 1,918$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9119…ec82backed Over | 48c | 1,898$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…e0efbacked Under | 52c | 1,862$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4563…c9b7backed Under | 52c | 1,854$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…7bfebacked Under | 52c | 1,832$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf771…3140backed Under | 52c | 1,784$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…2f08backed Under | 52c | 1,746$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92b…0f88backed Under | 52c | 1,716$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…bb72backed Under | 52c | 1,684$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…cbc4backed Under | 52c | 1,673$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…823ebacked Under | 52c | 1,628$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…1ff0backed Under | 52c | 1,597$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…550abacked Under | 52c | 1,579$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8789…c7c4backed Over | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe8…92bbbacked Under | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb271…e46ebacked Over | 48c | 1,365$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,234$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…1da6backed Under | 52c | 1,003$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 788.43$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 754.07$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Under | 54c | 303.03$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 55c | 194$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 191.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…9fa2backed Under | 11c | 183.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 54c | 161.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 143.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 58c | 119.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 113.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…1ee8backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Under | 53c | 36.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 46c | 31.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Nets won
- Celtics vs. NetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.