NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73ec153a88363cbd7fa5070dbaac903c5e171a00aefa2f693b658a2e19b99bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $525,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $525,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 48c | 121,724$58,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,427.5 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 52c | 119,022$61,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,130.75 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…aa08backed Over | 49c | 93,800$45,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,837.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 51c | 91,738$46,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,346.87 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 58,742$29,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,958.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 41,793$20,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,414.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 50c | 31,107$15,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,554.04 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 50c | 11,095$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.49 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 52c | 10,378$5,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,931.26 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 50c | 9,973$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.36 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a736backed Under | 48c | 8,196$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,999$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.29 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb94…1ff0backed Under | 47c | 5,348$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…e0efbacked Under | 47c | 5,182$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92b…0f88backed Under | 47c | 5,147$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 48c | 5,090$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.37 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 4,556$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.06 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 4,479$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 3,399$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 51c | 3,079$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.29 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,958$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,937$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,763$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.81 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 2,702$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,600$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 1,993$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.44 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…870ebacked Over | 53c | 1,987$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…7bfebacked Over | 53c | 1,924$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c1…550abacked Over | 53c | 1,893$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…0d90backed Over | 53c | 1,789$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa186…15dfbacked Over | 53c | 1,765$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df9…8ad4backed Over | 53c | 1,648$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…d906backed Over | 53c | 1,635$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…8b02backed Over | 53c | 1,524$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…bb72backed Over | 53c | 1,512$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 1,371$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.79 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 49c | 1,343$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 1,317$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.3 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 55c | 1,055$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.85 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 52c | 917$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.16 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 5c | 866.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.66 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 850$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 817$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.33 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 5c | 631.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 30c | 566.79$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.75 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 539.22$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 522$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 48c | 431.25$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 54c | 370.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Over | 6c | 366.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…2ecabacked Over | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 315$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Over | 50c | 309.8$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 51c | 297$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.47 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Over | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…777bbacked Under | 49c | 252.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 53c | 227.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.44 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 8c | 195.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 54c | 185.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 50c | 145.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 141.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 53c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…6869backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…b081backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 101.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 99.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Over | 51c | 99.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 85.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 52c | 83.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Under | 49c | 78.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Over | 53c | 75.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 53c | 71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Nets won
- Celtics vs. NetsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 217.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Payton Pritchard: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Nets won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.