CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4545e350432ae7ef67942e087f07d9e694391c0fa27cc6536b09c9e4cf3dc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperial Academyof Misa Esports, Imperial Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Imperial Academy | 42c | 1,292$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Misa Esports | 53c | 1,132$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.69 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 567.44$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Imperial Academy | 53c | 504.97$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.29 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Misa Esports | 40c | 346.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 302.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked Misa Esports | 53c | 230.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Imperial Academy | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…a1e5backed Misa Esports | 45c | 165.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Imperial Academy | 15c | 122.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Imperial Academy | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…7993backed Imperial Academy | 46c | 64.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Imperial Academy | 42c | 60.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Misa Esports | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Misa Esports | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Imperial Academy | 70c | 32.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 26.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy (BO3)Imperial Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Imperial Academy - Map 1 WinnerImperial Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.