TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Bucks52c157,204$82,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,241.276841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed 76ers48c42,425$20,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,165.181,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed 76ers48c33,333$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,333.337552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed 76ers47c26,801$12,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,204.5329351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks52c19,883$10,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,338.9787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers47c19,690$9,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,436.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef68…a0afbacked 76ers47c16,743$7,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,873.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Bucks53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9503234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed 76ers48c12,750$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,63024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked 76ers48c11,875$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,17533447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bucks53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed 76ers47c8,845$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,687.8992753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers46c8,331$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,462.284,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks53c8,000$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed 76ers47c6,984$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,681.152955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked 76ers49c6,971$3,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,58515349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers49c6,593$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks54c6,449$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.8365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0791…6b47backed Bucks52c5,800$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers48c5,714$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed 76ers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60048347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed 76ers47c4,851$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.0638750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Bucks50c4,030$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.0845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…2357backed 76ers47c3,945$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Bucks53c3,295$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.3334654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bucks54c3,071$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.112,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bucks52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers60c2,933$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.143,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks54c2,719$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.8589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb189…33d3backed 76ers48c2,650$1,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x084f…d7fdbacked 76ers48c2,576$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x836b…4e23backed 76ers48c2,574$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bad…6a35backed Bucks52c2,574$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc86…6e03backed Bucks52c2,574$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e9…541dbacked Bucks52c2,563$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.7640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad91…b075backed 76ers48c2,555$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa232…3567backed 76ers48c2,552$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cf…d438backed Bucks52c2,542$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8982…291fbacked 76ers48c2,542$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55aa…7106backed 76ers48c2,541$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0a…d229backed Bucks52c2,536$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abb…98f2backed Bucks52c2,534$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.6840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x685d…5a11backed Bucks52c2,533$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed56…3e62backed 76ers48c2,526$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…7530backed Bucks52c2,522$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2123…25d5backed 76ers48c2,512$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c85…f893backed Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-69.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc96…8a0bbacked 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cea…3ba8backed 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…fd93backed 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x710a…ed6cbacked Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd9…fe8dbacked 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270b…ff56backed Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b6…da08backed 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c5…5c0dbacked 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6371…d8febacked 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed 76ers49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f5e…9bd5backed Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8caf…13d0backed Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…2002backed Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb06d…7c03backed Bucks51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers48c2,005$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.24,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers47c1,916$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.482,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed 76ers47c1,915$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.8941649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed 76ers48c1,788$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.514346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a3…967fbacked 76ers76c1,691$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f66…c51ebacked 76ers48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8322100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed 76ers48c1,577$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.4259140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f3…2d1ebacked 76ers48c1,555$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers48c1,517$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c9d…e062backed 76ers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed 76ers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7954645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked 76ers48c1,441$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.8223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Bucks42c1,388$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.4420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks52c1,273$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.733,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x902e…5f41backed 76ers48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6509853.1%52 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed 76ers47c1,200$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.1664139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed 76ers49c1,180$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked 76ers49c1,177$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers48c1,141$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.326,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Bucks53c1,078$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.297447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed 76ers45c1,061$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3420849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x916a…b479backed Bucks44c1,054$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.4170%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Bucks53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Bucks53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked 76ers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3328448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed 76ers47c751.06$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers47c747.62$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.241,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed 76ers49c734.69$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6912657.9%73 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers47c669.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.233,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked 76ers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Bucks52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed 76ers48c483.33$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.3349246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bucks54c450$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked Bucks53c444.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2377838.5%30 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed 76ers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6725951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.