NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ed4ec7d29ddea8958b750742f24282f22d044cb2e5185177db2a6e8de8d10f

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,853 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over	47c	32,075$14,919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,155.94	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	53c	23,000$12,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,299.09	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	53c	3,010$1,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,595.42	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	53c	2,515$1,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,336.64	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under	52c	2,007$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.54	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under	55c	1,500$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$819.99	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	54c	1,200$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	54c	831.83$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.13	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over	46c	506.06$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.27	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	53c	485.3$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.36	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Over	46c	343$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.22	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	54c	343$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.22	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under	4c	342.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	52c	336$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.24	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	49c	304.14$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.11	186	50%93 W · 93 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	55c	199.89$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.94	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	46c	188.67$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.72	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Over	45c	176.7$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.98	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2d2…a162backed Under	55c	147.27$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	46c	131.86$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.2	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5354…b0bdbacked Under	55c	127.27$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c5…0b58backed Under	56c	125$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.1wins	+0.30per pick	56cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Under	14c	119.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.85	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.7	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c63…b90dbacked Under	53c	104.89$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.59	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	44c	101.88$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.05	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa843…8c8bbacked Under	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over	46c	86.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.72	147	54.4%80 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…06b4backed Under	55c	81.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8778…73febacked Over	47c	78.57$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.64	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e65…701cbacked Under	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under	55c	53$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ae…bf68backed Under	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc33…9636backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	192	42.7%82 W · 110 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under	54c	43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745e…5975backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27da…4781backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00cb…6b5dbacked Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	51cpaid	-38%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1ce…5ce8backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under	56c	33.07$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	243	32.9%80 W · 163 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7797…78d3backed Under	55c	29.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	54.5%48 W · 40 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x617d…82dcbacked Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb52…f6e4backed Under	55c	27.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over	46c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dcd…43aabacked Under	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x450a…a7debacked Under	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event