NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0e2f25df255c48360804c0ba8ec2d91c3a3e5263301c9b5002c9a79dd5ec0a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,851
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,851 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 51c | 19,055$9,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,336.95 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 50c | 7,154$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.9 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,678$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,390$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.01 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…8776backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2052backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…5ca2backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1246backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…982dbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…e0e7backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…6fa7backed Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…94fdbacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…4fabbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…309dbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…55ebbacked Under | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Over | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 2,067$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Under | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 48c | 780$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 601.6$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 398.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 363.01$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 14c | 258.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 242$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.42 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 151$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…3111backed Over | 50c | 109.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 96.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 49c | 91.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Over | 49c | 65.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 51c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 49.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 51c | 38.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 38.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Over | 51c | 37.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 50c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…7af9backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 50c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…8e15backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Over | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Over | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…aecfbacked Over | 50c | 22.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Over | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Over | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Bucks vs. 76ers76ers won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-9.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.