TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof Bucks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,191

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Bucks27c2,918$788 inLost-$787.715759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers72c1,843$1,334 inWon+$508.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers70c1,111$778 inWon+$333.376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Bucks28c400$112 inLost-$1128744.8%39 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed 76ers72c355.28$256 inWon+$99.481,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Bucks20c262.5$53 inLost-$52.514636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Bucks25c195.47$49 inLost-$49.1814949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed 76ers75c176.3$132 inWon+$44.0743244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Bucks30c166.67$50 inLost-$5026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Bucks29c100$29 inLost-$2962848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Bucks26c88.18$23 inLost-$22.931,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Bucks30c83$25 inLost-$24.94533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed 76ers77c42.9$33 inWon+$9.6966646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked 76ers72c29.72$21 inWon+$8.323534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers70c23$16 inWon+$6.813,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28cd…33a2backed 76ers71c16$11 inWon+$4.648100%8 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.