TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over49c32,740$15,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,838.5621057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c21,365$11,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,008.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under14c6,362$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd567…9adbbacked Over47c5,497$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,913.41450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9e…fa0bbacked Over47c5,483$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727c…911abacked Over47c5,300$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c3,783$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.575,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c3,014$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.054,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under49c2,810$1,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,377.518536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2123…25d5backed Over47c2,571$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad91…b075backed Over47c2,566$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x836b…4e23backed Over47c2,556$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abb…98f2backed Under53c2,552$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.5640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12e9…541dbacked Under53c2,536$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.0840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4781…7530backed Under53c2,533$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bad…6a35backed Under53c2,524$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa232…3567backed Over47c2,502$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…3a45backed Over46c2,474$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae7d…0f9dbacked Over46c2,357$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.78450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d9…fe29backed Over46c2,354$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe3…d6e1backed Under54c2,136$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d6…aceebacked Over48c2,085$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…481cbacked Over48c2,075$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b9…15f8backed Under52c2,065$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b1…d674backed Under52c2,055$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a7…3f89backed Under52c2,045$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb2…4150backed Under52c2,035$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb54…c3e1backed Over48c2,025$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c2…5160backed Over48c2,015$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa30c…b2cdbacked Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d46…ab82backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d2…b9c4backed Under54c1,994$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee7…df84backed Under53c1,973$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5294…f9b7backed Under53c1,880$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa46…9a17backed Under53c1,814$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.42425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60c…30f0backed Under53c1,795$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7819…34c9backed Under53c1,669$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Over48c1,650$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85810446.2%48 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,623$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.023,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc68c…3ed2backed Under53c1,617$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd07…aa5ebacked Under54c1,595$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…f242backed Over46c1,537$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29f…3b18backed Under54c1,537$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f62…ee83backed Under53c1,532$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.9640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under51c1,499$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7639…c336backed Under54c1,336$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5827…9f23backed Under54c1,249$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…1842backed Over46c1,125$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under52c1,007$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.7262347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Over50c940.04$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.022356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c894.95$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.283,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c552$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.142,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under52c434.26$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8120838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over80c405.55$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1424846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under17c386.59$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.582,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c323.61$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over47c255.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3271449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under53c247$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8612645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Under53c235.85$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12518852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c212.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10624946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under7c197.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.862,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under53c189.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c181$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22bd…5211backed Under12c168.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c151$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.551,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over49c122.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.442,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over47c110.58$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.697851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c105$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over68c102.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.191,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0416347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Under35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514127.7%39 W · 102 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x203d…e00fbacked Over48c93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.364533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c92.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2866646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over48c87.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0671245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Over48c71$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.926541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1543244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under52c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.686058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c57.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.332,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.994658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b3a…1440backed Under53c44.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.646541.5%27 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Over48c44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.883259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Under52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8813239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5515449.4%76 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8243647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…a390backed Over47c39.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.136038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6435…ccfcbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c5…7b0bbacked Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1217243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd100…0f55backed Over48c24.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.685450%27 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd70d…c1ffbacked Under52c23.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under49c22.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7028…8512backed Over47c22.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.075949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over48c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.443748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa554…e53dbacked Under52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.713951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.