Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8fa887e958cf76b37732dd69817a9868c904930194769f04cbb9888d6a2048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 30c | 3,337$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.26 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 70c | 1,624$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.14 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 29c | 672.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.59 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…7c30backed Under | 70c | 584.29$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 45c | 458.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…5808backed Over | 40c | 317.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 67c | 240.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 225$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 69c | 175.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 162.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 80c | 139.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 69c | 125$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 55c | 121.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 38c | 121.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 59c | 98.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…3ba0backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +183%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 90.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Under | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 16c | 82.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 70c | 80.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 685 | 53.7%368 W · 317 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 61c | 57.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 30c | 53.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 33c | 49.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 35c | 49.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 39.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 63c | 30.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 800 | 73.3%586 W · 214 L | +45.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…f8a1backed Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 48c | 27.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 57c | 26.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Under | 70c | 25.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.