TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Keysof Madison Keys, Diane Parry
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,104 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Diane Parry21c5,096$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.671,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Diane Parry12c3,549$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.812,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Diane Parry16c3,516$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Diane Parry11c3,266$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1871725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Madison Keys79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42030542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Madison Keys79c1,821$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.398,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Diane Parry21c1,215$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.167,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Diane Parry21c1,166$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2622337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Madison Keys74c1,035$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.516549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Diane Parry18c1,028$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.91,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7693…ba75backed Diane Parry22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205425.9%14 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Madison Keys78c842.27$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.128552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Diane Parry27c799.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Diane Parry13c769$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9745343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Madison Keys79c759.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4954450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Diane Parry21c603.65$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Diane Parry21c560.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Madison Keys79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.332975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Diane Parry23c494.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.451,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Madison Keys79c480.22$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8521959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Diane Parry23c450$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.545457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Madison Keys78c428.14$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.431,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Diane Parry22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Madison Keys79c363.29$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Diane Parry21c350$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Diane Parry21c335.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.511,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Diane Parry19c288.01$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.076,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Diane Parry23c252.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.771,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Diane Parry21c238.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Madison Keys79c209$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8938048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Diane Parry22c206.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4628424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Madison Keys80c192$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Diane Parry22c175$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.538133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Diane Parry22c158$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5837342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Madison Keys79c152.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6418548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Madison Keys72c133.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9912057.5%69 W · 51 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Madison Keys78c128.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Madison Keys78c128.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0114456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Diane Parry22c127.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7713135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Madison Keys79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5884968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f4…335fbacked Madison Keys79c125.1$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2724274%179 W · 63 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Madison Keys79c124$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.044,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Madison Keys73c120.33$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.084,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Diane Parry28c108.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9543951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b4…9152backed Madison Keys79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.276170.5%43 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Madison Keys75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Madison Keys77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Diane Parry22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Madison Keys79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2177967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Diane Parry28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Madison Keys76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.682065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Diane Parry23c95.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.892,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Madison Keys79c94.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9481933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Madison Keys78c93.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4868951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Diane Parry24c91.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.14,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Diane Parry22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203423.5%8 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diane Parry19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9238147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Diane Parry18c87.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Diane Parry12c86.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.191,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Diane Parry22c84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4834744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Diane Parry22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Diane Parry22c76.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.273,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Madison Keys78c67.21$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7929461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Madison Keys76c64.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4930254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Diane Parry22c62.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8429063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Madison Keys76c61.73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8215650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Diane Parry32c56.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Diane Parry18c55.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1443058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfd…a801backed Madison Keys78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc805…760dbacked Diane Parry22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Diane Parry21c49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2996844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a2…aff4backed Madison Keys79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Diane Parry27c43.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7931434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Madison Keys79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.438268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Madison Keys77c39.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0537071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Madison Keys78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4624563.3%155 W · 90 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Madison Keys74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0565264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Madison Keys72c32.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0912245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Madison Keys72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.527058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4f…7ecebacked Madison Keys79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.328159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Madison Keys79c22.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.637856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Madison Keys79c21.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.592437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Madison Keys79c21.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.593855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Madison Keys72c20.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x650b…683fbacked Madison Keys79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.24463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Madison Keys79c16.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4545147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Madison Keys78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.265967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Madison Keys76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6515258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.