Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Dino Prizmic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4bb4ca5d5a0749dadd8db77047896116c089410bc52463f266b3b74f1b938f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dino Prizmicof Darwin Blanch, Dino Prizmic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darwin Blanch | 9c | 6,800$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.26 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…b0f3backed Darwin Blanch | 28c | 2,865$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.33 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dino Prizmic | 74c | 2,223$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Darwin Blanch | 26c | 1,046$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.12 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dino Prizmic | 75c | 916.77$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 904.55$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 794.14$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 772.17$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.05 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Darwin Blanch | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dino Prizmic | 75c | 545.5$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Darwin Blanch | 29c | 455.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Darwin Blanch | 26c | 434.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Dino Prizmic | 65c | 396.54$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.79 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Darwin Blanch | 26c | 394$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Darwin Blanch | 18c | 291.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Darwin Blanch | 23c | 278.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Dino Prizmic | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Dino Prizmic | 73c | 269.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Darwin Blanch | 28c | 266.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Darwin Blanch | 31c | 258.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Dino Prizmic | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Darwin Blanch | 31c | 218.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Dino Prizmic | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 183.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Darwin Blanch | 18c | 166.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Darwin Blanch | 23c | 161.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Darwin Blanch | 26c | 157.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Dino Prizmic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Darwin Blanch | 38c | 133.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Darwin Blanch | 39c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Dino Prizmic | 75c | 116.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Darwin Blanch | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Dino Prizmic | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Darwin Blanch | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Darwin Blanch | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Dino Prizmic | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dino Prizmic | 71c | 99.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Darwin Blanch | 27c | 94.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Darwin Blanch | 27c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Dino Prizmic | 71c | 74.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Dino Prizmic | 73c | 72.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Darwin Blanch | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Darwin Blanch | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Dino Prizmic | 70c | 57.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Dino Prizmic | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Darwin Blanch | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Darwin Blanch | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Dino Prizmic | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Dino Prizmic | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Dino Prizmic | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Darwin Blanch | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Darwin Blanch | 31c | 34.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Dino Prizmic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Dino Prizmic | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Dino Prizmic | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Dino Prizmic | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Dino Prizmic | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Dino Prizmic | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Dino Prizmic | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Dino Prizmic | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Dino Prizmic | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Dino Prizmic | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Dino Prizmicthis page
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Blanch (+1.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.