Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Alexis Galarneau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44ee85a62a37187cb8d84234851b3314581f4e52f78136574fc1f143d1257adb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexis Galarneauof Luca Van Assche, Alexis Galarneau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Luca Van Assche | 45c | 4,424$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.77 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Luca Van Assche | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Luca Van Assche | 40c | 1,162$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.88 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Luca Van Assche | 78c | 1,090$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alexis Galarneau | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 22c | 918.55$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.46 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Luca Van Assche | 9c | 814.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alexis Galarneau | 41c | 700.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.01 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Luca Van Assche | 53c | 688.41$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.29 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Luca Van Assche | 78c | 640.02$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexis Galarneau | 23c | 612.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Alexis Galarneau | 12c | 576.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alexis Galarneau | 24c | 484.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexis Galarneau | 38c | 435.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Alexis Galarneau | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alexis Galarneau | 28c | 382$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Alexis Galarneau | 24c | 379$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Alexis Galarneau | 76c | 372.81$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Luca Van Assche | 65c | 346$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Luca Van Assche | 52c | 343.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Alexis Galarneau | 25c | 299.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Alexis Galarneau | 28c | 289$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.85 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alexis Galarneau | 28c | 284$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Luca Van Assche | 7c | 273$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Alexis Galarneau | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alexis Galarneau | 34c | 235.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Alexis Galarneau | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Luca Van Assche | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Alexis Galarneau | 28c | 184$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.45 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Luca Van Assche | 55c | 165.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexis Galarneau | 22c | 165.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Luca Van Assche | 65c | 153.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Alexis Galarneau | 29c | 153$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.51 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Alexis Galarneau | 26c | 145$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alexis Galarneau | 28c | 141$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Luca Van Assche | 78c | 136.15$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Luca Van Assche | 76c | 131.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Alexis Galarneau | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Alexis Galarneau | 62c | 113.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Luca Van Assche | 77c | 106.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Luca Van Assche | 75c | 100.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Luca Van Assche | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Alexis Galarneau | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Luca Van Assche | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alexis Galarneau | 18c | 98.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Alexis Galarneau | 27c | 97.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Luca Van Assche | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Luca Van Assche | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Luca Van Assche | 55c | 81.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Luca Van Assche | 73c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luca Van Assche | 77c | 77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alexis Galarneau | 25c | 74.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Luca Van Assche | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alexis Galarneau | 35c | 69.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Luca Van Assche | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Alexis Galarneau | 31c | 63.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Alexis Galarneau | 24c | 62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Alexis Galarneau | 26c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alexis Galarneau | 24c | 61.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Luca Van Assche | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Alexis Galarneau | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alexis Galarneau | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Alexis Galarneau | 69c | 35.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Luca Van Assche | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Luca Van Assche | 73c | 32.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…4624backed Luca Van Assche | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Luca Van Assche | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Luca Van Assche | 73c | 21.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Luca Van Assche | 68c | 16.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Alexis Galarneauthis page
- Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Galarneau (+1.5)Galarneau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.