CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf055b067fadad9c3928a130fdef03519eee14e9a5352118bbdb482b8a8bc996c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fire Academyof Shadows, Eternal Fire Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 54c | 3,905$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.97 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Shadows | 48c | 1,988$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.75 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Shadows | 38c | 1,900$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Shadows | 48c | 1,800$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shadows | 42c | 1,447$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.14 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 33c | 1,438$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.52 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Shadows | 49c | 1,113$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.71 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eternal Fire Academy | 55c | 1,077$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.43 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Eternal Fire Academy | 49c | 910$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.3 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Shadows | 51c | 756.5$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Shadows | 65c | 633$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.82 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x91c8…753dbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 47c | 621.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Eternal Fire Academy | 52c | 546.33$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Shadows | 44c | 524.72$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Shadows | 51c | 482.57$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.56 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shadows | 47c | 363.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shadows | 53c | 345.02$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Shadows | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 48c | 253.15$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Eternal Fire Academy | 60c | 231.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shadows | 54c | 224.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire Academy | 55c | 222.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…592fbacked Shadows | 44c | 218.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Eternal Fire Academy | 78c | 206.42$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Shadows | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +178.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Eternal Fire Academy | 65c | 195.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Eternal Fire Academy | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Eternal Fire Academy | 34c | 148.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed Eternal Fire Academy | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Shadows | 39c | 141.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…7993backed Eternal Fire Academy | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Eternal Fire Academy | 77c | 129.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…8b7fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Shadows | 49c | 124.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f9…deaebacked Shadows | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Eternal Fire Academy | 58c | 112.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Shadows | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Shadows | 17c | 102.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Eternal Fire Academy | 54c | 101.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Shadows | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…f27ebacked Shadows | 50c | 95.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Shadows | 42c | 92.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Shadows | 34c | 79.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Shadows | 45c | 77.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shadows | 43c | 73.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Shadows | 42c | 73.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Shadows | 30c | 62.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed Eternal Fire Academy | 58c | 60.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Shadows | 39c | 51.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Eternal Fire Academy | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Shadows | 71c | 45.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Shadows | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…bc8cbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 58c | 42.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…1553backed Shadows | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 30c | 38.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Shadows | 49c | 37.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Eternal Fire Academy | 59c | 36.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eternal Fire Academy | 53c | 34.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Eternal Fire Academy | 61c | 31.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5e…e37abacked Eternal Fire Academy | 59c | 29.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Eternal Fire Academy | 55c | 24.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed Shadows | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shadows | 52c | 19.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Eternal Fire Academy | 62c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…9d77backed Eternal Fire Academy | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Eternal Fire Academy | 77c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…bf90backed Eternal Fire Academy | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Shadows vs Eternal Fire Academy - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.