Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb17f4b8e055e423855a9604c9d8527c96e484a2815f48f6adbf55ef7b33c496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsof USC Upstate Spartans, Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 15c | 3,221$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…a105backed USC Upstate Spartans | 76c | 1,451$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed USC Upstate Spartans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 21c | 699.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 78c | 647.91$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 36c | 644.12$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.3 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 22c | 588.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.93 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 18c | 550$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed USC Upstate Spartans | 51c | 465$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.4 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 23c | 351.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.9 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 22c | 312$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 41c | 301$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.46 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 16c | 299.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed USC Upstate Spartans | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 71c | 211.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 13c | 210$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed USC Upstate Spartans | 72c | 175.84$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 23c | 134$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed USC Upstate Spartans | 14c | 107.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed USC Upstate Spartans | 79c | 86.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 24c | 78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed USC Upstate Spartans | 69c | 65.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed USC Upstate Spartans | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 70c | 49.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 31c | 39.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed USC Upstate Spartans | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 79c | 24.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed USC Upstate Spartans | 78c | 13.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsthis page
- Spread: USC Upstate Spartans (-11.5)Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.