NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cad85c5098c97f580d4404b5ee0f44a75b244acda303d39c32a22836ab8429e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 52c | 81,319$42,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,032.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 52c | 50,034$26,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,016.46 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 29,086$13,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 20,761$9,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,911.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 18,581$8,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,919.09 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 18,042$8,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,660.29 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 16,667$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 11,543$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,573.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 51c | 11,000$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 53c | 9,416$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.73 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Raptors | 51c | 7,440$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.38 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,541$3,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,198.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 6,529$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,617$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,567$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 5,391$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Raptors | 52c | 5,335$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.01 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Raptors | 48c | 4,723$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.96 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9080…d00abacked Raptors | 47c | 4,464$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,349$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,942$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.16 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,807$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.12 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,500$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,026$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.22 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Raptors | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Raptors | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,607$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 47c | 2,504$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.83 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors | 52c | 2,397$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,363$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,303$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,957$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…59f2backed Raptors | 51c | 1,840$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…93b9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,835$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Raptors | 56c | 1,760$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.38 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,507$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.41 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,461$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.12 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,416$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,397$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Raptors | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 50c | 976.29$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Raptors | 52c | 950$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.73 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 940$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 900$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 870.45$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…b15fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 866$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 839.98$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.39 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 838.77$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.61 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…19c5backed Raptors | 49c | 777$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…1633backed Raptors | 45c | 688.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 551.73$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 472.74$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.66 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Raptors | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7da6backed Raptors | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 320.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Raptors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 296.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Raptors | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…d165backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors | 51c | 275.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 272.54$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 267.1$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7660backed Raptors | 51c | 263$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde98…568ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a26…1b7dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 254.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 234.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.53 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…03bcbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 234$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 223.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…1288backed Raptors | 51c | 223$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 206.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Raptors | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Raptors | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Raptors | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…6413backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Raptors | 48c | 169.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Raptors | 48c | 167$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 145.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 136.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 133.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Raptors | 47c | 133.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 122.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 118.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Raptors | 53c | 110.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Raptors | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 97.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 52c | 85.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 80.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Raptors | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)this page
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. Trail BlazersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.