NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6204aa0767fc466e80848a0501fdd15e7193bdaa2f91052797aa4bfc3b07cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Raptors | 46c | 6,767$3,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,654.16 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 4,894$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Raptors | 42c | 2,397$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.73 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Raptors | 40c | 1,240$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 676$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 675.93$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 675.81$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 46c | 593.58$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 580.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 556.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 39c | 538.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Raptors | 48c | 377.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.34 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Raptors | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 368.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -15.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 308.83$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 270$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 48c | 227.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 220.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 196.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 42c | 194$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 193.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Raptors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 156.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 29c | 105.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 99.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 89.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 81.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Raptors | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Raptors | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 73.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raptors | 40c | 68.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Raptors | 46c | 57.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Raptors | 41c | 56.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Raptors | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 42c | 52.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Raptors | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Raptors | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…e85cbacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 42.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 26.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…baf0backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 16.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)this page
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. Trail BlazersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.