NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a0912a04a4131396fb8cf49ea43fd5e7e7350fcad2a3645115d0af3690c90c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.14 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 2,512$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,332$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 2,061$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 2,041$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 50c | 1,812$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.02 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 1,538$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.59 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 44c | 1,209$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 988$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 470.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.83 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under | 52c | 194.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 134.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 51c | 124.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 46c | 74.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 56c | 66.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 51.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 37.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 52c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 33.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd50…c3bcbacked Over | 49c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 51c | 26.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…cd6ebacked Under | 51c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 50c | 22.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…75debacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5this page
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. Trail BlazersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.