NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93f0434971aed8db98825e6b97808d43f57f9c7c236ef0cafc4291d6d04e75f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 55c | 19,757$10,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,768.6 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 5,340$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 45c | 4,810$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.5 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 46c | 4,451$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.31 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Under | 46c | 1,709$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Over | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 44c | 588.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.61 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 550.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.47 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 46c | 459.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.28 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 432.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 342$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Over | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 210.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…b081backed Over | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 45c | 115.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 47c | 102.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…8a34backed Over | 58c | 87.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 57.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 55c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…ef9abacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Under | 45c | 48.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Under | 47c | 44.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 46c | 44.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 46c | 32.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057c…b52dbacked Over | 57c | 29.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…4f96backed Over | 57c | 24.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5this page
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. Trail BlazersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.