NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac65f9dad4d761c698f14ebe3e8ef78b29386e4f37b5de3481d3590d17b7c851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 54c | 27,851$15,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,815.35 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Raptors | 52c | 24,320$12,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,680.05 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 16,229$7,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,827.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 14,369$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Raptors | 56c | 10,025$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380.87 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Raptors | 54c | 6,600$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,545$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 3,336$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 2,655$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 2,562$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,341$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.74 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Raptors | 72c | 835.67$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 788.67$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Raptors | 55c | 729.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 600$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Raptors | 55c | 500.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Raptors | 56c | 490$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 426.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 416$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 385.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Raptors | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 337.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Raptors | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 297$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 275.84$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 266.5$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d28…4453backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 265.62$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 255.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…c402backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 230.55$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8c6dbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 225.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x621a…3f87backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 224.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…77dcbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 221.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Raptors | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…7a75backed Raptors | 54c | 192.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…5c68backed Raptors | 54c | 189.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 188.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…aac7backed Raptors | 54c | 188.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…854abacked Raptors | 54c | 188.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752a…cbcfbacked Raptors | 54c | 187.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf0…02d4backed Raptors | 54c | 187.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…7ed4backed Raptors | 54c | 185.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Raptors | 55c | 185.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 150.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 144.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Raptors | 55c | 135$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 131.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Raptors | 55c | 129.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7151…3cd9backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 128.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…1633backed Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 85.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Raptors | 55c | 83.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Raptors | 51c | 79.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Raptors | 54c | 67.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…9b14backed Raptors | 55c | 61.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed Raptors | 55c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Raptors | 54c | 49.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Raptors | 55c | 34.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…7ec5backed Raptors | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…ec8bbacked Raptors | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Raptors | 55c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Raptors | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Raptors vs. Trail BlazersRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.