NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53661c939dbb0bc1fb2dbccd5232bc23d76fe081ad8b26074d370b1ce3ad35e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Grizzlies, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 52c | 71,309$36,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,537.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Grizzlies | 48c | 43,872$20,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,840.44 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans | 53c | 42,673$22,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,932.24 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Grizzlies | 49c | 31,302$15,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,236.98 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 16,703$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,808.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Pelicans | 53c | 15,555$8,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,310.85 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 48c | 11,925$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.14 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Pelicans | 53c | 9,780$5,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.32 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 53c | 9,470$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.5 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 48c | 9,236$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,414.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 7,026$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Grizzlies | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pelicans | 52c | 6,300$3,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,321$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.75 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 4,807$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.31 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,588$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,052$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,780$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.33 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,696$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.96 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.91 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,537$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.95 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 2,312$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,885$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.58 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,613$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.98 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,445$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.93 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,230$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.5 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 923$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 837.16$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.16 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Grizzlies | 20c | 612$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 47c | 500$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Grizzlies | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Grizzlies | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Grizzlies | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…0abbbacked Pelicans | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 47c | 383.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Pelicans | 52c | 365.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…1633backed Grizzlies | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 317.91$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.96 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Pelicans | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Pelicans | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Grizzlies | 50c | 283.15$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans | 33c | 278.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans | 51c | 272$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 271$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.66 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 70c | 245.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Grizzlies | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Grizzlies | 24c | 218$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…09a6backed Grizzlies | 50c | 216.48$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Grizzlies | 47c | 214$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d35…3ca0backed Pelicans | 50c | 209.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…86e8backed Pelicans | 50c | 209.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…55c7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 207.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837b…75e4backed Pelicans | 50c | 207.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Grizzlies | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e8…0193backed Grizzlies | 50c | 205.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…160abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 205.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…7a06backed Grizzlies | 50c | 205.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…6e9ebacked Pelicans | 50c | 205.01$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…cef2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 204.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 204.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe3…f0f1backed Pelicans | 50c | 202.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…1ee3backed Pelicans | 50c | 200.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Pelicans | 40c | 197.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed Grizzlies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Grizzlies | 47c | 191.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 54c | 189.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Grizzlies | 54c | 186.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Grizzlies | 50c | 178.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 168.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Grizzlies | 48c | 159.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 42c | 155.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 147.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…0d45backed Grizzlies | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…09d3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…777bbacked Pelicans | 51c | 135.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pelicans | 53c | 123.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans | 58c | 121.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Grizzlies | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Pelicans | 52c | 117.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Grizzlies | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Pelicans | 32c | 102.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Pelicans | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pelicans | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…5f12backed Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.