NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccd30df5f31fa43820fae937f0bc5c5c0ce1d57327d7af648103c29bedb54c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 52c | 18,211$9,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,742.52 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 14,392$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,513.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Over | 57c | 14,145$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,082.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 56c | 7,053$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 48c | 6,209$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.38 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 43c | 5,549$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.07 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 48c | 4,121$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 3,139$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.48 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 43c | 2,327$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.7 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 1,794$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.12 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,647$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 51c | 1,647$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 1,372$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 901$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 43c | 862.79$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 860.38$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.98 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 686.05$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…4a54backed Under | 48c | 579.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…e0adbacked Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 515.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 44c | 497$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 55c | 448.6$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 48c | 328$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 226.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 44c | 223.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 44c | 196.89$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 44c | 144.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 44c | 125.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 113.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 46c | 94.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 60c | 92.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Over | 61c | 78.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Over | 52c | 66.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 63.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 44c | 58.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Under | 48c | 50.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 52c | 48.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…7071backed Over | 61c | 41.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 43c | 38.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Under | 44c | 38.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 41c | 37.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 52c | 31.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Under | 51c | 28.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Under | 47c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 41c | 25.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…74e1backed Over | 60c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 52c | 21.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…bdd0backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.