NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff2d873500f3a282860c2ea4c534c59d6b2747d76964100c546aa7627746027e

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,598 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb552…94a8backed Over	54c	8,942$4,858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,083.5	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Over	59c	6,987$4,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,830.49	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under	49c	5,105$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	44c	2,841$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.77	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under	44c	2,794$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.36	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	19c	2,608$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.48	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	49c	2,544$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.19	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over	54c	2,536$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,156.91	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under	49c	2,536$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.37	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Over	53c	2,376$1,256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.45	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over	59c	2,120$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$869.17	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over	54c	2,096$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$964.23	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	49c	2,036$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	46c	1,145$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.98	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under	47c	1,032$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under	50c	1,020$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	301	57.1%172 W · 129 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under	41c	906.83$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.8	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Under	41c	860$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.6	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	45c	803.09$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.37	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under	45c	751.11$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	473	54.8%259 W · 214 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Under	46c	739.9$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.44	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under	46c	644.75$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.59	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	54c	529.49$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.57	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	44c	374.12$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.61	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	42c	371.77$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.29	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	45c	363.98$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.79	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	41c	301.83$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.67	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under	46c	279.09$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.38	281	47.7%134 W · 147 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Under	46c	222$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.12	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under	41c	213.88$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	45c	199.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Under	44c	189.77$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.19	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	46c	182$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.72	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over	51c	180.78$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.58	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f7…2633backed Over	55c	176.79$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.98	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ccc…585fbacked Over	63c	165.49$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.23	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	45c	163$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.35	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	37c	162.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over	64c	156.46$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.46	274	43.1%118 W · 156 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over	65c	154.17$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Under	41c	150$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	45c	134.24$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.88	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc09b…ab6fbacked Over	63c	118.42$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.42	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under	36c	114.98$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.82	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	50c	96.87$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.24	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over	55c	89.36$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.51	311	55%171 W · 140 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	40c	84.7$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	45c	83.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…d504backed Under	39c	80$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	210	57.1%120 W · 90 L	+20.3wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	42c	76.46$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.41	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Under	40c	71.82$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under	40c	70.07$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Over	50c	67$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	19c	61.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.46	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under	45c	52.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Under	45c	50.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under	41c	49.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…f2cabacked Under	43c	48.91$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	41c	47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	390	41%160 W · 230 L	-32.8wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over	53c	42.56$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.95	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Over	55c	41.8$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.9	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5256…4973backed Over	62c	40.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.05	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	45c	39.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ae…bf68backed Over	63c	39.68$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.68	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffc5…229dbacked Over	64c	39.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under	38c	34.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7172…4cf3backed Under	46c	33.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…05d5backed Over	54c	32.96$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	197	48.2%95 W · 102 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Under	47c	32.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Under	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,084	42.4%460 W · 624 L	-48.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	65c	25.38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.88	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2669…5824backed Over	63c	23.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+35%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa996…d9cfbacked Over	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb762…3d4abacked Over	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87de…6e5bbacked Under	46c	21.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under	48c	21.46$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	61c	18.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…0e40backed Over	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+3.6wins	+0.36per pick	54cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5this page
1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Pelicans won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event