NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808c8237f30fe83855d4f10386c249102f555cb284002d64ea419829228e4ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 9,236$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.84 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 8,244$3,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.83 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 45c | 5,601$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.45 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 45c | 5,236$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.12 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 54c | 2,936$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.64 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Under | 45c | 2,218$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 48c | 2,025$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 45c | 1,727$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 44c | 1,496$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.44 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 48c | 880$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.6 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 778.35$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under | 44c | 736$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.84 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 677.75$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 587$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.15 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 48c | 508.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.66 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 430$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 45c | 405.65$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Under | 45c | 401.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 329.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 204$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 171.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Over | 54c | 116.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 46c | 112.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 106.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 100.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 48c | 86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 46c | 49.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 45c | 47.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…af31backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…2c0bbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…8707backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Over | 57c | 34.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 45c | 33.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Under | 44c | 32.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4b…9f51backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Over | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…a6dfbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e7…b890backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…f54cbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 22.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.