NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf249a2c5b4b2f3bddb44efbd0166e9e527f76a007e11b0125283d9355c95f4b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 46c | 11,035$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.31 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 53c | 7,643$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.81 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 52c | 6,873$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.89 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 51c | 5,786$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 5,104$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 45c | 1,220$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,179$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.54 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 48c | 975$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 899.98$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 692$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 540.59$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 443.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 297$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 224$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Over | 56c | 179.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 171.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 157.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…b081backed Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 134.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Under | 44c | 112.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 110.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 107.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 88.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 47c | 74.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 74.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 45c | 72.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 54c | 57.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…77d8backed Over | 51c | 52.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Under | 57c | 49.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 54c | 38.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 37.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 32.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 79c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.