NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32346e6b02bf8a432b1ca0c58e4a650da6bddd4ac3cb708ea0ca571fc9fdb55c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Under | 51c | 25,688$13,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,017.75 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 11,749$5,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.99 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 6,504$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 51c | 4,371$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.75 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,262$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 2,874$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.72 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,308$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 2,272$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.15 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 53c | 2,213$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.73 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 51c | 1,626$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.87 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 51c | 1,141$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.7 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 1,136$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.22 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 1,008$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.12 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 923.89$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.18 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 709.88$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Under | 49c | 666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.34 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Over | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 49c | 469.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 55c | 363.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Under | 5c | 299.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 230.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 8c | 217.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…f32bbacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 48c | 131.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 124.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 119.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 49c | 58.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 48c | 52.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 49c | 51.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 40.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. GrizzliesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)Pelicans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.