Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa81f4162757a60ec6737d1bdd4193f94196260c4dee6900c8d9d8cbe41312b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof Wagner Seahawks, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 31c | 1,417$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.73 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 1,140$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wagner Seahawks | 30c | 1,067$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Wagner Seahawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 64c | 869.23$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 35c | 800$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.4 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Wagner Seahawks | 35c | 668.86$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 15c | 365.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 23c | 356.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 53c | 319.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 44c | 316.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…d477backed Wagner Seahawks | 33c | 302.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 51c | 288.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 79c | 272$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Wagner Seahawks | 23c | 262.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Wagner Seahawks | 51c | 254.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 203.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.31 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 53c | 201.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Wagner Seahawks | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Wagner Seahawks | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Wagner Seahawks | 47c | 147$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wagner Seahawks | 22c | 134$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Wagner Seahawks | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Wagner Seahawks | 37c | 112.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Wagner Seahawks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Wagner Seahawks | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Wagner Seahawks | 23c | 87.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 26c | 76.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 54c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 74c | 62.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wagner Seahawks | 50c | 59.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 58.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f37…0a71backed Wagner Seahawks | 72c | 58.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 47c | 51.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Wagner Seahawks | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 72c | 48.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Wagner Seahawks | 56c | 45.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Wagner Seahawks | 74c | 37.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks | 59c | 36.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 32c | 32.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 46c | 32.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wagner Seahawks | 51c | 31.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…f83cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 77c | 21.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 70c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-7.5)Wagner Seahawks won
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-8.5)Wagner Seahawks won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 144.5Under won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.