Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c903f5789a5bee28df36f38384ddd74b157729b599c46c31dce1587ca3d57df

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 23, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,277 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed No	63c	41,455$26,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,330.24	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	56c	7,376$4,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,093.98	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	55c	6,902$3,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,125.88	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No	63c	6,264$3,946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,317.73	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	24c	6,177$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,479.52	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	37c	6,023$2,227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226.76	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No	72c	6,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Yes	37c	5,405$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Yes	37c	5,405$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Yes	37c	4,920$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked Yes	37c	4,496$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.45	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	37c	3,100$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,147	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes	37c	3,000$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,110	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	29c	2,721$779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,942.31	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	37c	2,583$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.43	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf8…a92dbacked Yes	37c	2,334$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$855.39	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.8wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	36c	2,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes	66c	1,882$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.26	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	33c	1,458$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	115	34.8%40 W · 75 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	37c	1,351$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes	37c	1,351$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.85	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes	38c	1,316$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes	36c	1,086$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.81	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	531	34.5%183 W · 348 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed Yes	36c	945.67$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.77	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes	63c	880.95$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	64c	865.08$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.8	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	145	44.1%64 W · 81 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	37c	562$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.9	1,204	50.7%610 W · 594 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes	36c	555.56$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes	63c	555.24$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.8	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	69c	545.93$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.55	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes	36c	499.97$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes	37c	476$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.12	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd87…30a6backed Yes	37c	432.43$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	8cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes	68c	380.13$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes	75c	361.24$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.6	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Yes	37c	337.84$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8661…d5f1backed Yes	37c	315.68$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes	37c	280$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.6	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	49c	234.1$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.55	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed No	64c	220.33$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.3	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26fc…13f2backed Yes	5c	216.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9677…7345backed Yes	37c	202.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No	24c	200$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes	37c	200$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	233	53.6%125 W · 108 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked No	21c	190$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.1	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+5.8wins	+0.17per pick	42cpaid	+55%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Yes	37c	188.27$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.66	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes	27c	185$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Yes	74c	180$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.4	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes	28c	178$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	220	40.5%89 W · 131 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes	28c	174.64$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.9	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	39c	153.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.06	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Yes	38c	145.47$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	43c	139.85$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes	77c	130.13$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	420	43.8%184 W · 236 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes	37c	127.3$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-5.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes	37c	126$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	101	30.7%31 W · 70 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes	65c	123.25$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.11	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.9wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes	37c	118.92$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	495	44.2%219 W · 276 L	-20.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	37c	108.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes	37c	108.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No	29c	105.52$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.01	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No	25c	100.95$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.33	209	31.6%66 W · 143 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8207…7edbbacked Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	83	38.6%32 W · 51 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x188a…de60backed Yes	77c	97$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.69	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa8…2ba7backed No	38c	94.32$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.48	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6647…9e91backed Yes	64c	93.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Yes	57c	93.35$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.49	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+66.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No	45c	92.78$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.94	423	24.3%103 W · 320 L	-36.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-47%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No	63c	92.63$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.74	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	43c	91.29$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.14	670	42.2%283 W · 387 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes	40c	87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes	35c	84.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes	65c	81.38$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.84	533	44.8%239 W · 294 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfd…920fbacked Yes	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked No	64c	78.13$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes	66c	77.22$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.94	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes	37c	76.44$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-7.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Yes	36c	70$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Yes	63c	70$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes	36c	69.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.19	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2cf…60fdbacked Yes	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No	17c	69.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16fc…2fdebacked Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc276…0031backed Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5f…08afbacked Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b9…d090backed Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…1a9cbacked Yes	37c	67.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes	36c	67.39$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.26	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes	63c	65.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.56	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc638…eb19backed Yes	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f95…1f16backed Yes	38c	65.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec25…dec6backed Yes	37c	62.16$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?this page
Will Derby County FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-23?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-23?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event