Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07904b99dc7896ab224337471acc6163aab062b45877a78a6a6d21c0de4ed0b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $677,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 580,484$300,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280,188.72 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 287,476$137,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,988.52 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 44,896$22,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,198 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 52c | 27,000$14,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,960 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 47c | 24,995$11,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,747.69 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 18,500$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 9,183$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591.33 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 50c | 4,856$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,851$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 47c | 4,022$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.01 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 2,495$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,400$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 50c | 449.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 51c | 427.65$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…3343backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 50c | 353.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…c036backed Under | 49c | 303.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 219$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 52c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 177.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 159$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…0c80backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 52c | 111.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Under | 49c | 105.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 51c | 98.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 80.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 52c | 56.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 50c | 48.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 43.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…323bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 52c | 35.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 51c | 33.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Under | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 52c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 50c | 26.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 50c | 24.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…958ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…0133backed Over | 52c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 151.5this page
- Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood LionsLindenwood Lions won
- Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.