Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3264af88d44969cfb122b0bbb9bc06455788ea3666fb10bc2f0f8c3d68d59d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed36…7efabacked Yes | 0c | 15,380$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 7c | 7,757$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.7 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 7,239$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…d019backed Yes | 8c | 6,499$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 38c | 3,654$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf212…f39ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,481$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 64c | 3,476$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.95 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 23c | 2,801$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…2ee0backed Yes | 14c | 2,346$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…75e1backed Yes | 39c | 1,419$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef95…b5c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,352$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 5c | 1,300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 1,156$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…51b7backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Yes | 12c | 911.16$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d54…923cbacked Yes | 44c | 801.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…8e97backed Yes | 4c | 799.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 10c | 536.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…be09backed Yes | 16c | 493.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 76c | 486.15$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked Yes | 11c | 378$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed Yes | 43c | 375.18$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 75c | 361.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436a…f32abacked No | 58c | 345.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb561…86f8backed Yes | 22c | 321$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed No | 54c | 256.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 230.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6e…632fbacked Yes | 48c | 210.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…a373backed Yes | 23c | 200.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e2c3backed No | 58c | 198.35$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 15c | 177.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b90fbacked Yes | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…1789backed Yes | 9c | 155.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…886abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…f829backed Yes | 32c | 123.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…6a46backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…b267backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 46c | 102.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…508dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…24d4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…36b5backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…e9e6backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…d8eabacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8522…e603backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…1417backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…4e9abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…fdd2backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…9304backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ff…1a4cbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…7907backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…699abacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…3efebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…70a8backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb825…7aa8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…0c2bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c3…7db4backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…af4ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…e8f7backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…ddd4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a87…21f7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…6081backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd47…c20ebacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…9d8fbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 42c | 89.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…17d4backed No | 80c | 80.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…d57abacked Yes | 46c | 72.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…ed91backed No | 57c | 70.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…8138backed No | 59c | 60.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…d131backed Yes | 47c | 56.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 20c | 54.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 71c | 44.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…9850backed No | 52c | 40.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…65dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…d30bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…3e07backed Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…b4babacked No | 64c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +626.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…07fabacked No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…b7b8backed No | 59c | 23.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…861dbacked No | 80c | 22.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee2…0136backed No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.