Movies · resolved market
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc911de7e9077c995361cb2513b824802ddc953178cb494e518408a6672cf60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $423,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 3c | 69,839$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 10c | 56,392$5,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 36c | 42,574$15,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,185.5 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 71c | 22,540$15,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,635.25 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 6c | 17,662$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 7c | 13,850$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.93 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Yes | 12c | 12,715$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.59 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 28c | 7,696$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.26 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 4c | 5,568$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 9c | 5,563$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,484$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.97 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x49a2…b036backed Yes | 0c | 4,219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked Yes | 7c | 4,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 14c | 3,978$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.48 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 30c | 3,842$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.65 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 34c | 3,524$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.78 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 30c | 3,197$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.46 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 4c | 3,166$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 20c | 3,160$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.07 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…5d71backed Yes | 17c | 3,130$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,778$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 3c | 2,628$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed Yes | 29c | 2,625$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.48 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…198abacked Yes | 3c | 2,576$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed Yes | 32c | 2,244$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 30c | 2,142$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 25c | 2,074$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.32 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Yes | 2c | 2,058$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 1c | 2,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,015$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.92 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…3dbfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,007$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,992$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.17 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 72c | 1,893$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,856$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.21 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 22c | 1,825$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.21 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…a502backed Yes | 34c | 1,788$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 20c | 1,758$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.92 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 2c | 1,387$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 23c | 1,369$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.47 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…9811backed Yes | 30c | 1,338$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 1,330$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.26 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…58f2backed Yes | 47c | 1,323$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 38c | 1,279$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.61 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…33a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,249$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed Yes | 42c | 1,166$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…afb9backed Yes | 16c | 1,145$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…d8debacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…8cc8backed Yes | 24c | 1,076$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…b22cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 78c | 1,000$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…22dabacked Yes | 26c | 995.76$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…2dc2backed Yes | 5c | 961.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 28c | 900$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.15 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 16c | 836.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 4c | 823.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…e18abacked Yes | 36c | 805$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked Yes | 14c | 745.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 9c | 739.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked Yes | 41c | 739.75$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 25c | 736.39$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.49 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…c454backed Yes | 25c | 705.27$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…3731backed Yes | 23c | 695.31$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 8c | 651.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 6c | 629.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 12c | 589.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 562.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 64c | 522.95$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…dc5dbacked Yes | 9c | 514.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…716dbacked Yes | 40c | 505.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…d206backed Yes | 30c | 503.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…e8afbacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 65c | 500$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.54 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 32c | 482.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…747abacked Yes | 64c | 441.04$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 435.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 38c | 416.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 26c | 410.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…99d0backed No | 75c | 401.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef6e…246cbacked Yes | 6c | 398.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 46c | 396$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 72c | 392.73$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked Yes | 49c | 386.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a8fdbacked No | 72c | 380.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 74c | 369.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4028…7de4backed Yes | 14c | 362.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 75c | 360.35$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 31c | 352.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…079dbacked Yes | 29c | 349.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…b952backed Yes | 29c | 349.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?this page
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Yes won
- Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.