CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3e42e1b49b99232a9b99b15c895008a74634b233dba423c4ebf0986ec565a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed paiN | 19c | 118,088$22,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,656.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed paiN | 15c | 25,289$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.25 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked paiN | 18c | 22,222$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN | 19c | 16,800$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.7 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed paiN | 18c | 15,555$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.89 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed paiN | 18c | 5,044$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.96 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed paiN | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 20c | 4,779$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.2 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…8933backed paiN | 10c | 4,181$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked FURIA | 80c | 3,838$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.6 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed paiN | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed paiN | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 11c | 2,192$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed paiN | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…b4b4backed paiN | 13c | 1,772$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed paiN | 17c | 1,710$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.18 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 13c | 1,404$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed paiN | 18c | 1,375$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 16c | 1,238$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed paiN | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FURIA | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed paiN | 18c | 1,152$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.32 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 17c | 1,082$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.47 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked paiN | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked paiN | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 5c | 791.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN | 12c | 762.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed paiN | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed paiN | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…4708backed paiN | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed paiN | 22c | 536.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked paiN | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed paiN | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked paiN | 18c | 499.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed paiN | 11c | 461.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…da87backed paiN | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed paiN | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed FURIA | 79c | 355$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed paiN | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…7089backed paiN | 15c | 307.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed paiN | 16c | 299.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed paiN | 15c | 288$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked paiN | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked paiN | 15c | 252.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked paiN | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed paiN | 13c | 238.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…c4b4backed paiN | 8c | 238.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed paiN | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed paiN | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…6eebbacked paiN | 7c | 171.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked paiN | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed paiN | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked paiN | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked paiN | 19c | 120.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed paiN | 12c | 106.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked paiN | 20c | 102.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed paiN | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed paiN | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed paiN | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6c…3b0fbacked paiN | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed paiN | 19c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed paiN | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…4224backed paiN | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed FURIA | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.