TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$322,132
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$409,472

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,132 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde92…5e10backed FURIA64c40,000$25,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,325.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed FURIA75c33,710$25,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,322.978446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed paiN34c28,259$9,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,56233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN23c15,669$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked paiN49c14,953$7,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,396.1811146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA59c11,000$6,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,52510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN23c9,489$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.491,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN38c8,520$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.921,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed paiN32c8,283$2,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,623.043531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN19c8,051$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.0564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN27c7,636$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.1881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked paiN52c7,488$3,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.854850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked paiN35c7,201$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.778342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed paiN20c6,990$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.919942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN40c5,938$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.613,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FURIA79c5,000$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.3157647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked FURIA65c4,629$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.7911443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked FURIA79c4,074$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.512153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked paiN38c3,986$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.5320855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked paiN1c3,891$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9113315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b3…db81backed FURIA77c3,781$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked FURIA62c2,380$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.0316448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed FURIA70c2,030$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2122253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed paiN53c1,963$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.141,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x636b…8933backed paiN25c1,693$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed paiN41c1,572$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.5221645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA77c1,539$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9618051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf683…6c60backed FURIA36c1,522$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75fc…ee34backed FURIA79c1,476$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.032661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed paiN20c1,339$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1619247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked FURIA72c1,297$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2376748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed FURIA79c1,200$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed FURIA64c1,165$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.2724155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed paiN38c1,150$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.9817538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked FURIA44c1,027$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.7814142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked FURIA71c1,010$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.455750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked paiN23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x824d…a040backed paiN37c990.2$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked paiN35c854.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.16544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked paiN50c832.46$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.715853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA80c810.83$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1760953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed paiN25c806$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.597230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed FURIA75c806$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.510252%53 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked FURIA80c791.99$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.66535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed FURIA22c726.66$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked paiN39c650$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.598052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked paiN17c593.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.482231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed paiN36c536.62$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7521139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed FURIA30c518.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6415749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed FURIA79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10511558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed FURIA80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed paiN46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23038452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed FURIA73c488.81$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.37455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fa…2afebacked FURIA57c485.33$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.825060%30 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x568a…add0backed paiN27c393.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.071625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA78c373.32$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1313050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked FURIA76c368.51$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.17552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5686…7e63backed FURIA52c364.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.461573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed FURIA70c358.15$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.053348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13e9…7cd4backed FURIA58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.836657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd48…b205backed FURIA74c312.61$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.491275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked FURIA77c311.69$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.697558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f87…c701backed FURIA58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261850%9 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed paiN35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed FURIA59c271.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1335344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed FURIA58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10534146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked paiN21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f75…a6e7backed paiN22c232.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed paiN25c232$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA62c213.68$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.144,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3322560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked FURIA43c204.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6713044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked FURIA69c203.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0635341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked FURIA46c202.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.162050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked FURIA40c200$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.574434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed paiN12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked FURIA62c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7730748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe52…32c5backed paiN21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6b…b4b4backed paiN5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed paiN23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46230%0 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked paiN15c194$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.975236.5%19 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed FURIA72c193$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.045637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b9…1a27backed paiN39c191.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed FURIA78c189.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.35147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9d…4ad7backed paiN27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f3…e5d3backed FURIA80c182.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.472642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed FURIA66c180.41$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.881250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e1…802abacked paiN12c177.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.552330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed paiN22c176.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5910753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4449849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed FURIA58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked paiN29c170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.29938.4%38 W · 61 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb62e…543bbacked paiN16c163.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d79…ad77backed FURIA50c161.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed FURIA67c160.32$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.124168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed paiN64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9613441.8%56 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.