Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.25 on February 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2f89c874eaf65b0fc700ff4b8162aa630b13e25c9414a9764745fdba6eac7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe13b…8a63backed No | 49c | 15,682$7,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,739.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 2c | 9,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 48c | 8,335$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…d02fbacked Yes | 57c | 5,886$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 53c | 4,700$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 1c | 4,362$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…b95dbacked No | 19c | 4,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked Yes | 66c | 2,613$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 4c | 2,082$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…9a0cbacked No | 0c | 2,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 55c | 1,853$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…d601backed Yes | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed No | 10c | 1,541$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 47c | 1,400$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.97 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…09cebacked No | 1c | 1,136$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066c…475fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,064$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…b823backed No | 31c | 1,006$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,006$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa6…de7abacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…f927backed No | 35c | 905.03$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b47…4500backed Yes | 65c | 905.03$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed No | 9c | 742.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.71 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked Yes | 57c | 656.96$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…71cebacked Yes | 60c | 556.94$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked Yes | 57c | 530.95$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…59d0backed No | 38c | 481.28$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked Yes | 62c | 481.28$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…5894backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…07e8backed Yes | 68c | 320.26$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d5…0121backed Yes | 65c | 308$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…75bebacked No | 35c | 308$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2b…a12cbacked No | 4c | 285.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 5c | 280.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 276.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…3ab7backed Yes | 80c | 258.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 71c | 250.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…6c64backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed Yes | 70c | 214.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…b4bbbacked No | 8c | 203.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 40c | 197.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed Yes | 55c | 193.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 55c | 179.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 50c | 162.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…9c9cbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 76c | 131.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548d…522dbacked Yes | 78c | 128.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 45c | 124.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 69c | 113$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…cc24backed No | 28c | 104.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd193…d93dbacked No | 48c | 103.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…3669backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 52c | 96.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…807cbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…e789backed Yes | 76c | 93.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…0045backed Yes | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed No | 31c | 82.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…4fe1backed No | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…dd7abacked Yes | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 80.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…1b57backed Yes | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…7276backed Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…4fbdbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…2e16backed No | 37c | 74.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…b7fdbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 73c | 68.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…b00ebacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…2cecbacked No | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…26c0backed Yes | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…df8cbacked Yes | 57c | 52.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…f28fbacked No | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…acecbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…d05ebacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…e26fbacked No | 23c | 47.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Yes | 55c | 45.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffb…a16bbacked Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…ff63backed No | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…7794backed Yes | 55c | 41.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…c27fbacked No | 54c | 37.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Yes | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…ffdbbacked Yes | 51c | 33.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…0072backed No | 52c | 28.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 41c | 28.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked No | 54c | 27.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a2…fc3fbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…52bcbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…81c7backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…d4c0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +275.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…e249backed No | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…8969backed No | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…e610backed Yes | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…4ac6backed Yes | 75c | 22.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a988backed Yes | 50c | 21.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1410…ab0abacked Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…cc27backed No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…48cabacked No | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.