Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5073f74333fc68e1e1cafacd3a81d3dbb33a00a08af0667fa254d4bcc9c4c405

Rebuilt 15 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 20, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,024,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $744,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	42c	47,344$19,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,887.71	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	12c	36,754$4,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,423.93	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	2c	22,182$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.62	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed No	46c	22,131$10,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,896.37	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	48c	21,269$10,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,240.88	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5677backed No	80c	16,806$13,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,419.54	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	50c	16,535$8,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,185.65	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	15c	16,035$2,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.43	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	18c	15,425$2,713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,713.48	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	24c	11,560$2,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,819.14	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No	65c	10,162$6,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,584.28	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	40c	9,474$3,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,807.48	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	20c	9,160$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.87	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	12c	8,749$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,084.36	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	13c	8,678$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.26	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	8c	8,584$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.36	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	26c	8,115$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.77	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	17c	8,000$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.49	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed No	51c	7,247$3,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,515.03	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	12c	5,933$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.03	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa810…fd25backed No	73c	5,800$4,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,565.34	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed No	52c	5,668$2,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,713.16	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed No	53c	5,652$3,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,644.27	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce54…d757backed Yes	16c	5,586$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.98	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…07d4backed No	52c	5,517$2,874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,642.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	9c	5,200$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.61	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	8c	5,087$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.13	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a4…fd85backed Yes	16c	5,072$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.27	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7a…8b26backed Yes	23c	5,046$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.9	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.98	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	3c	4,961$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.59	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	12c	4,755$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.57	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	28c	4,703$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.86	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	9c	4,638$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.13	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	33c	4,616$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.07	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	24c	4,579$1,089 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088.58	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9dd…8121backed Yes	18c	4,445$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.02	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes	0c	4,378$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	13c	4,114$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f7…c4d2backed Yes	25c	3,944$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.92	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7623…48abbacked Yes	3c	3,826$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.96	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d71…6945backed Yes	11c	3,684$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.44	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0460…e16abacked Yes	42c	3,568$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac37…55eabacked Yes	6c	3,554$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.78	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	43c	3,500$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488.14	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	16c	3,456$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.31	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes	11c	3,355$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.81	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked Yes	3c	3,316$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.11	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d46…cefbbacked Yes	24c	3,214$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.39	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a48…a46bbacked Yes	20c	3,158$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.39	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No	34c	3,100$1,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058.91	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…3290backed Yes	3c	3,089$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.19	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-82.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	46c	3,060$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396.44	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	3,001$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.78	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes	8c	3,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	24c	2,943$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.59	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94e…ac9ebacked Yes	15c	2,890$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.51	25	16%4 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	39c	2,850$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.1	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	21c	2,835$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.13	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	35c	2,705$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.63	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes	9c	2,663$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.14	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes	34c	2,623$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.13	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	2,574$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7a…b5f7backed No	80c	2,500$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	33c	2,433$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.01	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1b…3660backed Yes	6c	2,385$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.31	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a7…b95fbacked Yes	9c	2,370$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.21	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6857…30b7backed Yes	14c	2,194$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.82	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	4c	2,109$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.33	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ab…b83cbacked Yes	4c	2,077$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x094c…e608backed Yes	12c	2,068$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.59	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	7c	1,967$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.51	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4d00…f30cbacked Yes	8c	1,942$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	47c	1,906$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.77	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef2…8a53backed Yes	5c	1,869$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.45	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1372…bf6dbacked Yes	10c	1,800$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Yes	63c	1,781$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.35	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+126.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972e…41d6backed Yes	33c	1,749$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	14cpaid	+103.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yes	68c	1,735$1,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.91	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	53c	1,712$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes	30c	1,653$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.41	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes	35c	1,651$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.96	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc028…9349backed Yes	5c	1,644$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.66	45	15.6%7 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed No	28c	1,635$458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.04	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf856…a3ddbacked Yes	14c	1,618$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.51	30	30%9 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3100…c588backed Yes	6c	1,564$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes	5c	1,550$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.07	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd99…df91backed Yes	5c	1,530$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed87…35f2backed Yes	30c	1,515$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…cf47backed Yes	4c	1,500$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Yes	4c	1,464$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.51	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-76%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc7…2035backed Yes	52c	1,433$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.93	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes	4c	1,427$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3772…e3f7backed Yes	16c	1,375$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.08	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43bf…9d26backed Yes	37c	1,348$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.77	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked No	28c	1,343$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.28	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaaa…fd78backed Yes	50c	1,302$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	6c	1,300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes	47c	1,273$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.92	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?this page
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event