Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x646ae4636b795e677373da0cf64bd46809b4d72fbe036700ff0cfbe2420bffae

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $432,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $220,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,467 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	2c	27,561$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.43	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	1c	27,370$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.02	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	2c	12,795$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.28	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	5c	12,227$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.36	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	11,700$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1344…e6e5backed Yes	2c	11,000$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.64	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d9…e579backed Yes	1c	10,100$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Yes	1c	10,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	13c	9,217$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.18	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	13c	7,450$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.29	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77c…f762backed Yes	2c	7,256$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.1	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5677backed Yes	15c	6,847$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.58	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	2c	5,325$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.29	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	2c	5,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	4,591$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	2c	4,319$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.11	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	4c	4,037$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.43	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc9dd…8121backed Yes	1c	3,693$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.93	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…f547backed Yes	1c	3,537$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	2c	3,500$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a1b…3660backed Yes	3c	3,222$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.41	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	0c	3,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x266e…b420backed Yes	2c	2,890$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.31	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes	18c	2,834$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.07	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	2c	2,526$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	2,500$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	2c	2,496$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.62	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	12c	2,450$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	15c	2,400$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce54…d757backed Yes	5c	2,200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.07	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc333…466fbacked Yes	15c	2,010$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.2	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	2c	2,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	1,905$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3f…1e6cbacked Yes	13c	1,880$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.88	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…7a4bbacked Yes	7c	1,827$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	13c	1,711$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.03	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6392…f797backed Yes	14c	1,428$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.87	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6857…30b7backed Yes	14c	1,407$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	1,402$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.31	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x094c…e608backed Yes	6c	1,305$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.84	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fea…4ed2backed Yes	15c	1,221$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	2c	1,200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab7…c17fbacked Yes	3c	1,153$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	13c	1,100$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	13c	1,100$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	14c	1,054$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.58	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d00…f30cbacked Yes	14c	1,047$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2169…b9ffbacked Yes	1c	1,028$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	2c	1,010$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	1c	1,001$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	3c	1,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bd…6892backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes	14c	990$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.6	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	6c	988$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.18	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	13c	946.15$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	14c	921.91$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.07	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002b…bff3backed Yes	13c	860$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes	12c	850$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	830.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	13c	823.01$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc7…2035backed Yes	8c	813.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.32	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088f…131bbacked Yes	5c	800$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41f…c71ebacked Yes	15c	799.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+130.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes	7c	767.61$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.11	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	15c	757.28$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb7…efebbacked Yes	14c	735.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes	14c	731.66$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.43	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f7…c4d2backed Yes	14c	720$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.6	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2290…80bebacked Yes	14c	717.28$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e0…b2b4backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee85…7777backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62f…990bbacked Yes	15c	668.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	12cpaid	-63%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be2…4664backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	9c	640$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.3	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…5acabacked Yes	12c	602.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.94	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb220…2a5dbacked Yes	2c	600$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	6c	587.31$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	15c	558.13$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.72	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243f…12fabacked Yes	18c	557.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f29…3d27backed Yes	15c	533.33$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65cc…6ba0backed Yes	13c	526.09$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	57	10.5%6 W · 51 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+114.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes	8c	525$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	243	7%17 W · 226 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5043…1399backed Yes	3c	500$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	25	20%5 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74c8…0b36backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	15.6%12 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes	3c	499.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7060…29a7backed Yes	14c	485.71$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	11c	449.98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	447.49$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Yes	9c	443.79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	14c	419.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes	7c	409.41$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.54	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab9…226ebacked Yes	9c	407.41$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.6	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a4…fd85backed Yes	8c	375$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	9c	354.96$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…8156backed Yes	14c	351.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?this page
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event