Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7f9600085ace14e762a29db74202f44d9f06144ff9ba380bffe8db4724e2b7c

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $513,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $297,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes	3c	52,732$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,506.29	261	12.6%33 W · 228 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	5c	51,418$2,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,595.65	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	8c	24,506$2,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010.65	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	7c	16,588$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.2	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1344…e6e5backed Yes	7c	14,750$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.13	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	7c	12,698$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.26	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	14c	7,698$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,107.63	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	14c	6,073$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.21	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	9c	5,838$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.71	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf386…a1d6backed Yes	3c	5,500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	4c	5,258$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.11	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	3c	5,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes	0c	4,610$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	39	2.6%1 W · 38 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-94.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	3c	4,420$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	15c	3,727$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.83	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3f…1e6cbacked Yes	14c	3,382$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.13	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	18c	3,333$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.67	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d9…e579backed Yes	8c	3,168$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.96	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc7…2035backed Yes	24c	3,079$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.58	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes	5c	3,009$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.5	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce54…d757backed Yes	7c	2,879$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.01	49	14.3%7 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	10c	2,500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.92	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	9c	2,500$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.98	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	3c	2,447$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x769e…cd65backed Yes	11c	2,369$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.35	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	14cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	14c	2,340$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6392…f797backed Yes	12c	2,331$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	4c	2,129$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.73	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	10c	2,001$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.12	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	18c	1,827$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.21	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fb…2bfdbacked Yes	1c	1,800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	12c	1,721$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.56	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	6c	1,716$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.85	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	4c	1,600$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	9c	1,544$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.96	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	3c	1,500$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	3c	1,500$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.8	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…2e5fbacked Yes	15c	1,500$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes	11c	1,494$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	1,472$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.64	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab7…c17fbacked Yes	2c	1,443$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	1c	1,383$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	135	19.3%26 W · 109 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	3c	1,378$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6857…30b7backed Yes	15c	1,368$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e7…5d19backed Yes	5c	1,300$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	16c	1,286$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…e230backed Yes	13c	1,239$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be2…4664backed Yes	16c	1,227$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	1,225$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x094c…e608backed Yes	8c	1,174$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.79	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	12c	1,157$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.79	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	14c	1,150$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.5	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,146$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	17c	1,100$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	12c	1,097$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.74	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	14c	1,002$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.25	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Yes	13c	1,000$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	49	12.2%6 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	9c	1,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972e…41d6backed Yes	4c	1,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.28	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	14cpaid	+103.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes	3c	1,000$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc9…7361backed Yes	2c	999.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	956.66$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	14c	953.47$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.66	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb7…efebbacked Yes	14c	937.2$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.21	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…9900backed Yes	9c	932.52$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+270.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…b2b4backed Yes	13c	923.59$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.53	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f7…c4d2backed Yes	12c	849.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.6	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	12c	837.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	14c	824.31$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.03	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	14c	824.31$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.01	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes	14c	797.38$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.76	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes	11c	788.36$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.72	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6364…09a8backed Yes	10c	772.05$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee85…7777backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9dd…8121backed Yes	12c	768.03$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.48	32	9.4%3 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	9c	730.46$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.02	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes	3c	728$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7060…29a7backed Yes	16c	706.25$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	21c	690.51$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.66	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…f547backed Yes	9c	610.09$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	18c	609.44$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.7	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes	3c	609.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d25…0027backed Yes	4c	603$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb220…2a5dbacked Yes	2c	600$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f29…3d27backed Yes	14c	557.14$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes	18c	543.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b9…98ffbacked Yes	15c	518.22$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes	8c	517$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes	6c	506.49$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	109	14.7%16 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce6…9f5dbacked Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2478…2e62backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b36…4021backed Yes	13c	499.91$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.84	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	6c	487.5$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f7a…c585backed Yes	10c	463.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.65	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc3…14dbbacked Yes	16c	439.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes	5c	419$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?this page
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 14-21?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event