Token Launches · resolved market
Dogecoin above $0.27 on February 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f6b2b6d73259fc04bb4939644040ccefd8954e8fb87d6080c17b7bce3ed3008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 15,669$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.57 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 5c | 12,714$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…d02fbacked No | 78c | 10,867$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…0747backed Yes | 2c | 6,023$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 66c | 5,610$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,995$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 4c | 3,833$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 41c | 3,255$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 33c | 2,806$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 2c | 2,569$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 4c | 2,400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…b808backed Yes | 1c | 2,346$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 18c | 2,075$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…ce46backed Yes | 60c | 2,020$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfd…dd1abacked No | 40c | 2,020$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 11c | 1,723$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…cf47backed Yes | 13c | 1,711$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3428…e1ebbacked Yes | 19c | 1,610$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4643…26c9backed Yes | 26c | 1,248$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 1c | 1,214$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…f23abacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 979.33$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.73 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…2c3ebacked Yes | 3c | 901.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…782bbacked Yes | 3c | 718.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 80c | 619$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…0a70backed Yes | 3c | 615$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…0481backed Yes | 3c | 567.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…938bbacked Yes | 10c | 516.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 41c | 490.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 8c | 468.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked Yes | 23c | 436.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +291%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…7213backed Yes | 49c | 434.18$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…205bbacked Yes | 19c | 422.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 23c | 409.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…5c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 383.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 48c | 373.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…c279backed Yes | 60c | 372.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed No | 55c | 370$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb561…86f8backed Yes | 16c | 337.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f2…50bebacked Yes | 7c | 331$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f1…75e1backed Yes | 29c | 316.43$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f5…9c9cbacked No | 72c | 277.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 60c | 275.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…abc1backed Yes | 5c | 256.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…e01cbacked Yes | 11c | 224.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 40c | 215.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 18c | 214.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +219.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 25c | 205.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…9090backed Yes | 19c | 189.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…2a77backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 21c | 143.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…1b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 141.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437d…6c11backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…f79dbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Yes | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed No | 56c | 109.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…3c02backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4441…36b5backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…10b0backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f35…b01abacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…9ff0backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59b…a402backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…265bbacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…f3f5backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30d…fdd2backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…9304backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…63d0backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…e8b4backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…47a1backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…0625backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…92cfbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…3d02backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…260abacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…bc82backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9d…6199backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…fc0cbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…68f2backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…7c02backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…ba96backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…af4ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ec…e8f7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…6081backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…48b2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dea…5eb2backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…ef38backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14be…1240backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…1b57backed Yes | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 53c | 66.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…25f9backed Yes | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…07b8backed Yes | 46c | 63.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…714abacked Yes | 19c | 55.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.