China Taiwan · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd1c87ac4cfa89405085c90d910cc2fc692281ef5877953c1e74b1234e7fa057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 587 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 28c | 45,108$12,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,820.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…b405backed No | 33c | 33,000$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,759.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 17c | 24,970$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.78 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 65c | 21,566$14,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,517.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 33c | 20,545$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 67c | 17,783$11,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadd…e141backed No | 0c | 17,637$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 75c | 15,427$11,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 65c | 15,023$9,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,242.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 74c | 12,649$9,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 67c | 12,496$8,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,063.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bee…946cbacked No | 44c | 12,295$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 68c | 12,139$8,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 70c | 11,124$7,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 1c | 10,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 76c | 9,956$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 15c | 8,942$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 65c | 8,808$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1f…afa5backed No | 24c | 8,457$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 4c | 8,326$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 30c | 8,318$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 29c | 8,252$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…e72ebacked No | 1c | 7,748$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 73c | 7,355$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 1c | 6,194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…cb5cbacked Yes | 64c | 6,016$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 41c | 5,753$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4170…d0dcbacked No | 2c | 5,584$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…b0a9backed No | 3c | 5,319$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…18cdbacked Yes | 56c | 5,009$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5230…e16cbacked No | 45c | 4,852$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6063…03f6backed No | 3c | 4,792$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 36c | 4,503$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…ca8fbacked Yes | 70c | 4,284$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed No | 1c | 4,163$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa880…d095backed No | 28c | 4,009$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6de…6b04backed No | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…74aebacked Yes | 79c | 3,924$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 71c | 3,850$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 67c | 3,790$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…4ca4backed Yes | 74c | 3,717$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 69c | 3,607$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 35c | 3,596$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 69c | 3,466$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 29c | 3,315$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed Yes | 58c | 3,267$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 20c | 3,226$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 53c | 3,092$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…9f5dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,032$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 30c | 3,010$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 9c | 2,887$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 40c | 2,743$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 1c | 2,728$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c8cebacked No | 23c | 2,718$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…d5c3backed Yes | 55c | 2,710$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…565dbacked No | 27c | 2,550$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…ac99backed No | 2c | 2,513$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…cecfbacked Yes | 72c | 2,502$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 65c | 2,255$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 70c | 2,198$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…dd4cbacked No | 23c | 2,169$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed No | 28c | 2,169$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 32c | 2,161$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4115…298abacked No | 33c | 2,154$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 74c | 2,146$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked No | 42c | 2,115$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c11…ab7bbacked No | 47c | 2,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…99c9backed Yes | 58c | 2,100$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…4f7fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,032$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…b2d2backed Yes | 64c | 2,022$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1936…8ae0backed No | 26c | 2,015$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 80c | 1,840$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…4f92backed No | 33c | 1,829$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…97f5backed No | 30c | 1,820$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…7935backed No | 4c | 1,800$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbf…f2f8backed Yes | 73c | 1,778$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…feecbacked No | 2c | 1,747$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 44c | 1,729$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…8004backed Yes | 58c | 1,669$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Yes | 65c | 1,531$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…6db4backed No | 18c | 1,445$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…18f9backed Yes | 79c | 1,347$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d1…c2acbacked Yes | 63c | 1,341$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…c862backed Yes | 75c | 1,337$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ac…091ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,225$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b9debacked No | 16c | 1,224$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…eea1backed No | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,168$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed Yes | 67c | 1,147$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 34c | 1,139$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…ce31backed No | 47c | 1,131$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6750…c697backed No | 36c | 1,128$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Yes | 66c | 1,111$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Yes | 70c | 1,085$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 51c | 1,069$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d6…bf94backed No | 36c | 1,064$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 66c | 1,058$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.