TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Dplus KIA, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$648,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$822,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $648,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed Dplus KIA36c158,870$56,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,965.9222850.9%116 W · 112 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Gen.G77c40,059$30,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,203.4640851.7%211 W · 197 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Gen.G64c30,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,80090443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Gen.G64c24,000$15,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,6409144%40 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23c…9f81backed Gen.G65c18,897$12,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,693.9516060.6%97 W · 63 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce29…3b0dbacked Gen.G64c15,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.996352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dplus KIA23c14,630$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.771,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Gen.G68c13,000$8,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,110.021,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked Dplus KIA18c12,880$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.4626344.5%117 W · 146 L+18.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Gen.G63c11,595$7,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.0625744.7%115 W · 142 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3239…8da3backed Gen.G64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6005442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked Dplus KIA36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60017954.7%98 W · 81 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d8a…f907backed Gen.G64c8,980$5,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.597042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Gen.G63c8,819$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.9296948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G73c8,554$6,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.731,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Dplus KIA37c8,205$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00029843.3%129 W · 169 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed Gen.G64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.510041%41 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x203b…46e1backed Gen.G64c6,666$4,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.766955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Gen.G62c6,522$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.5716456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb7…e8e5backed Dplus KIA1c6,401$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.02462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-84.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Gen.G64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16092254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Gen.G69c5,202$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.2514647.9%70 W · 76 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Gen.G65c5,127$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.521,02547.9%491 W · 534 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Gen.G65c5,100$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.051,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Gen.G64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80058457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0587…c40bbacked Dplus KIA8c4,778$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2417045.9%78 W · 92 L+16.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Gen.G62c4,743$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.3851146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Dplus KIA36c4,586$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.0417844.4%79 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Dplus KIA16c4,492$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.722,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7d…898ebacked Dplus KIA12c4,397$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.687252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Dplus KIA35c4,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9930447.4%144 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dplus KIA34c3,973$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.0520346.3%94 W · 109 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bd1…42d2backed Dplus KIA14c3,938$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.786541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Dplus KIA26c3,853$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.6110340.8%42 W · 61 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…d8dabacked Dplus KIA38c3,800$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4442729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked Gen.G79c3,791$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.4322667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed Dplus KIA38c3,532$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.276943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Dplus KIA14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49026729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Dplus KIA36c3,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.998143.2%35 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Gen.G78c3,311$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.1969259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dplus KIA17c3,303$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.512,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Gen.G70c3,230$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.6967853.4%362 W · 316 L+25.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb132…6b5ebacked Gen.G79c3,085$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.676355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Dplus KIA15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45095541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Dplus KIA20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60023141.1%95 W · 136 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Dplus KIA17c2,800$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47617538.9%68 W · 107 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Dplus KIA16c2,580$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.5270641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe973…ab15backed Gen.G78c2,538$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9251,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dplus KIA36c2,463$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.131,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Gen.G65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.6978646.4%365 W · 421 L+19.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Dplus KIA31c2,193$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6757847.4%37 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA33c2,143$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.361,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a23…3253backed Gen.G63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74010857.4%62 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Dplus KIA39c2,000$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.991,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Dplus KIA21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9933153.2%176 W · 155 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Dplus KIA19c1,996$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.692,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Dplus KIA29c1,876$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.592,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Gen.G63c1,717$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.2661154.7%334 W · 277 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Dplus KIA1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Dplus KIA24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Dplus KIA38c1,666$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0884450.1%423 W · 421 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked Gen.G61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3418356.8%104 W · 79 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Gen.G64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.6888544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ca…f644backed Gen.G64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.524858.1%144 W · 104 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabc1…9561backed Gen.G64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.58061.3%49 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Gen.G65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.461,00948.2%486 W · 523 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Dplus KIA21c1,516$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3379342.1%334 W · 459 L-26.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Gen.G80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30040464.4%260 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eae…a3f0backed Dplus KIA7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054010%4 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Gen.G64c1,434$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.2195951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Dplus KIA28c1,431$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019852.5%104 W · 94 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd29b…96adbacked Gen.G70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5716466.5%109 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Gen.G70c1,419$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.130947.2%146 W · 163 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bf…f6edbacked Dplus KIA36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Dplus KIA37c1,353$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Dplus KIA36c1,300$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4681,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Dplus KIA20c1,268$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25576030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Gen.G79c1,243$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9448553.4%259 W · 226 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Gen.G65c1,231$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.771,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac3…6ec2backed Gen.G67c1,204$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.7513057.7%75 W · 55 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Dplus KIA15c1,200$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18641843.8%183 W · 235 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf006…4d60backed Dplus KIA9c1,193$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.721947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Dplus KIA22c1,140$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.672,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Dplus KIA15c1,124$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6276642%322 W · 444 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Dplus KIA4c1,110$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8568915.2%105 W · 584 L-31.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Dplus KIA9c1,105$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030854.5%168 W · 140 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed Dplus KIA25c1,090$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.797452.5%511 W · 463 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Gen.G60c1,040$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4164344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Dplus KIA36c1,032$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5255056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Gen.G72c1,011$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.1715267.1%102 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b7…fbcfbacked Dplus KIA7c1,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5227566.5%183 W · 92 L+25.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Dplus KIA39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39047136.9%174 W · 297 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Gen.G80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036652.5%192 W · 174 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Dplus KIA16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16015253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Gen.G68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32033945.4%154 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Gen.G61c996.01$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.4454555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Dplus KIA13c975.63$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2115143%65 W · 86 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Dplus KIA36c955$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.81,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Gen.G75c939.18$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.331,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.