Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1044b5cf756c856dfa4a0b471cc4a2f01acada6012f140f28d2898837815922c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 60c | 1,697$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.04 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 764$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.82 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 39c | 677.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.79 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 517.95$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.87 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 38c | 410$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 323.42$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 42c | 296.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.91 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Over | 42c | 259.11$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Over | 45c | 224.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…62c8backed Over | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…4fb7backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 39c | 189.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 40c | 129.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…0bcbbacked Over | 42c | 97.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 59c | 78.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed Over | 40c | 66.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 42c | 65.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 60c | 59.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Under | 62c | 32.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 54c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd9…2c1dbacked Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.