Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822355d49548602e82f77260f3779fe837d9b00ccd01f983aac44615862d9f93

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $403,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $232,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,655 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	4c	17,173$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.74	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	5c	17,000$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Yes	8c	16,670$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.58	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	13,002$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.11	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	3c	11,487$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.25	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	10,500$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.5	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	3c	9,784$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.85	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc304…97b4backed Yes	0c	7,531$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.03	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	10c	7,252$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.65	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	12c	6,738$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.55	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	7c	6,328$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.31	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0055…1c98backed Yes	3c	6,236$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.93	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	3c	6,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes	7c	5,664$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.7	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes	5c	5,452$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.83	155	20%31 W · 124 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	11c	5,310$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.78	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	4c	4,594$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.29	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	1c	3,902$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.44	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…e4c5backed Yes	3c	3,344$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.67	113	10.6%12 W · 101 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-56%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	17c	3,304$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.03	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	8c	3,061$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.15	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	3c	2,894$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.97	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	8c	2,875$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.34	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	22c	2,824$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes	25c	2,535$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa493…612ebacked Yes	6c	2,512$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.91	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	18c	2,444$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.07	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	3c	2,418$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.53	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	10c	2,294$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.1	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	2c	2,217$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	7c	2,191$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.41	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	3c	2,181$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.43	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	6c	2,172$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.04	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	2,160$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.72	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	2,084$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.44	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2260…9fcdbacked Yes	4c	1,971$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.29	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e9…d5aebacked Yes	5c	1,888$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,678$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.82	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x533a…56a8backed Yes	3c	1,550$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed No	77c	1,511$1,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.12	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…19d4backed Yes	2c	1,466$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	12c	1,436$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.7	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	22c	1,432$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.69	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb70…b2e2backed Yes	5c	1,375$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.13	67	17.9%12 W · 55 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	4c	1,364$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes	2c	1,300$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.83	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes	3c	1,281$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.93	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7883…1e8cbacked Yes	4c	1,270$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes	2c	1,259$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c6…c9f9backed Yes	2c	1,250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	16c	1,245$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.04	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e21…b2f5backed Yes	3c	1,188$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	188	10.1%19 W · 169 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ba…8586backed Yes	1c	1,150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	5c	1,144$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes	8c	1,140$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…5efebacked Yes	4c	1,129$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.16	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	20cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	10c	1,128$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.7	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…838bbacked Yes	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.46	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ae…8900backed Yes	15c	918.31$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	2c	900$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5e…53d3backed Yes	3c	884.25$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.97	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b4…66babacked Yes	4c	872$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5545…8371backed Yes	5c	848.32$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7425…e4f0backed Yes	2c	803.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4718…d954backed Yes	2c	779.82$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	10c	769.14$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.72	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf19…4af4backed Yes	5c	731.73$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	4c	707.74$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.55	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…c441backed Yes	3c	703.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+257.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…19cfbacked No	77c	700$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	2c	700$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7623…48abbacked Yes	3c	672.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	23c	664.29$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.9	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	2c	661.18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa995…e9f7backed Yes	3c	650.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x792d…e5cdbacked Yes	2c	636.34$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	13cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb02…f0c9backed Yes	2c	618.69$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee8…57b4backed Yes	2c	586.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x18bf…3658backed Yes	5c	517.78$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.7	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbb…a1d0backed Yes	2c	502.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	6c	500$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.36	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ad11backed Yes	18c	500$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.32	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3336…f823backed Yes	14c	500$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	15c	477.25$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.06	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15e…d608backed Yes	3c	466.98$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7761…532fbacked Yes	2c	455.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd0…b5eabacked Yes	2c	444.58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a46…5b84backed Yes	6c	426$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedda…3962backed Yes	8c	397.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	6c	395.37$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34aa…980abacked Yes	4c	389$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	11c	358.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.44	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c6…8019backed Yes	15c	353.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.53	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	19cpaid	-91.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79bc…460dbacked Yes	7c	332.74$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	17c	297.68$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes	4c	292.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	279	20.4%57 W · 222 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a92…a832backed Yes	14c	277.75$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5377…e6dabacked Yes	23c	262.05$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	9c	258.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d9…31c2backed Yes	4c	257.82$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event