Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e0c5eda48b33180f47ad97c77db19a8d2707687af382d2e5639b9e391544cb

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 2, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $149,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,004 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xce40…da67backed Yes	12c	6,879$824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823.93	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	12c	5,066$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.71	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	4c	5,033$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.94	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…97b4backed Yes	1c	5,031$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.56	36	19.4%7 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	0c	4,548$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	4,429$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.85	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	16c	3,681$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.11	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	3c	3,054$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.96	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes	19c	2,842$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.69	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-61%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	3c	2,500$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.99	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes	18c	2,293$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.53	176	6.8%12 W · 164 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	3c	2,124$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.22	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	19c	2,001$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.65	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	221	19.9%44 W · 177 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	2c	2,000$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.3	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642b…abccbacked Yes	9c	1,879$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	17c	1,796$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.85	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e9…d5aebacked Yes	15c	1,521$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	19c	1,504$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.15	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed Yes	1c	1,400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	70	14.3%10 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	18c	1,141$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.8	88	22.7%20 W · 68 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	16c	1,125$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.75	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Yes	17c	1,113$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf19…4af4backed Yes	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	25c	1,088$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.12	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc9…7a15backed Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	113	19.5%22 W · 91 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a46…5b84backed Yes	15c	1,000$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.2	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	19c	1,000$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes	8c	974.28$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.66	235	41.3%97 W · 138 L	-29.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	6c	900$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	19c	851.36$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.14	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…3869backed Yes	24c	845.41$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b4…66babacked Yes	18c	837.21$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.7	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes	2c	831.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf920…95bdbacked Yes	21c	752.12$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.76	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	18c	713.61$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.23	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Yes	15c	700$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d8…085ebacked Yes	18c	653.42$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.9	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeae8…479fbacked Yes	14c	605.54$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	92	17.4%16 W · 76 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b4c…3742backed Yes	20c	600$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a4…36d8backed Yes	16c	584.27$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.07	132	9.8%13 W · 119 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…ccbabacked Yes	17c	555$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.24	75	13.3%10 W · 65 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0484…a23ebacked Yes	4c	530$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	20c	529$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.8	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Yes	19c	515.8$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-64%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d77…04c9backed Yes	19c	510$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3235…6e6cbacked Yes	9c	461.29$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb205…7cd7backed Yes	5c	453.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3336…f823backed Yes	17c	453$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.01	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd956…485fbacked Yes	19c	451.71$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2143…0555backed Yes	4c	401.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a17…0389backed Yes	25c	356.11$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	59	13.6%8 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	21c	353.06$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.43	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbb…a1d0backed Yes	9c	344.24$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes	16c	342.04$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.88	163	19%31 W · 132 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b0d…c1babacked Yes	17c	341.4$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.05	246	18.7%46 W · 200 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	15c	333.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d5f…b380backed Yes	17c	330$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	430	27%116 W · 314 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	15c	321.25$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.78	797	35.9%286 W · 511 L	-34.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d09…0baabacked Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe98…be78backed Yes	14c	300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-68%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a92…a832backed Yes	22c	300$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ce…fa8cbacked Yes	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3382…67cbbacked Yes	19c	290$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd9…d46ebacked Yes	14c	250.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	14c	220$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd11c…ff7dbacked Yes	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	108	19.4%21 W · 87 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…abc3backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	64	6.3%4 W · 60 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	17c	160$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x89b0…8512backed Yes	13c	160$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3836…8660backed Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	14c	133.94$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-12.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf4f…ff76backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…94d5backed Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9621…a7bfbacked Yes	18c	121.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7883…1e8cbacked Yes	21c	120.71$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.35	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33c…dbc5backed Yes	21c	120.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd32d…3c32backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5545…8371backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	89	20.2%18 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140b…24b3backed Yes	16c	112.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe00a…bc2dbacked Yes	18c	112.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e8…6297backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	19cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…2f8abacked Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8863…34e3backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	15cpaid	+222.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Yes	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	262	24%63 W · 199 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ec…fcf9backed Yes	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972e…5a4cbacked Yes	16c	93.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4709…fb48backed Yes	15c	88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	19c	87.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	170	12.9%22 W · 148 L	-10.7wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…b7b7backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	30cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4c…d033backed Yes	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?this page
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times April 25–May 2?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 25–May 2?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event